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Remphoto
02-09-2010, 01:42 PM
Not to count chickens before they're hatched, but here's how the Senate races are lining up. If the election were today, the Republicans would have a good shot at taking the Senate.

HOW THE GOP WILL WIN THE SENATE

By DICK MORRIS & EILEEN MCGANN

Published on DickMorris.com on February 8, 2010

If the Republican Party wins every senate seat in which it now holds a lead, according to Rasmussen’s polls, it will capture eight Democratic seats while holding all of its own. The two remaining pickups, to assure control, could be in Indiana where former Senator Dan Coats may run against Senator Evan Bayh and in California. Even if Coats does not run, former Congressman John Hostettler is only behind Bayh by 44-41. And, in California, former Hewlitt Packhard CEO Carly Fiorina is also only three points behind Senator Barbara Boxer.

(This assumes that former Wisconsin governor Tommy Thompson takes on Senator Russ Feingold).

Here’s the data:

In these eight races, the Republican is ahead:

State Contest Latest Polling Date

Delaware Castle v Coones Castle +29 Jan

ND Hoeven v unknown Hoeven +20 (v Dorgan) Dec

Ark Lincoln v 4 opps Repub (Baker) +19 Feb

Nev Reid v 3 opps Repub (Tarkanian) +8 Feb

Colorado Norton v Bennet Norton +14 Feb

Penn Toomey v Specter Toomey +9 Jan

Illinois Kirk v Giannoulias Kirk +6 Feb

Wisconsin Thompson v Feingold Thompson +3 Jan

And, in these two states, the results are close:

State Contest Latest Polling Date

California Boxer v 3 opps Boxer (v Fiorina) +3 Jan

Indiana Bayh v Hostettler Bayh +3 Jan

If Republicans take all ten seats, they take control in the Senate.

In addition strong challenges may be shaping up in New York against Kirsten Gillibrand and in Washington State against Patty Murray.

Gillibrand, appointed to fill Hillary’s seat, is very vulnerable, both in a primary against former Tennessee Democratic Congressman Harold Ford and in a general election. If a strong candidate emerges, she and/or Ford could be defeated.

And in Washington State, innovative businessman (and millionaire) Paul Akers is likely to run against Patty Murray. The Washington State senator only won with 55% of the vote last time, a poor performance for a three term incumbent. Akers’ company takes new technologies, buys them, and then uses them to create jobs. He should give Murray a tough race which he could end up winning.

But the message of Massachusetts is that any Republican can beat any Democrat anywhere. So don’t count out former Congressman Rob Simmons’ race against Connecticut Attorney General Richard Blumenthal or any possible candidate against Oregon’s Ron Wyden and New York’s Chuck Schumer.

The Republicans will win the Senate (and the House) and might win it with a few seats to spare!

Remphoto
02-09-2010, 02:06 PM
In further good news, Ben Nelson is threatening to join the GOP to filibuster against an alleged communist candidate for National Labor Relations Board:

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/n/a/2010/02/08/national/w185416S09.DTL&type=politics

coolbreeze
02-09-2010, 11:51 PM
The latter is done!

As for the republicans winning back congress, that will be great when it happens, no matter how it happens.

nelson
02-10-2010, 07:59 AM
Well, I would love to see Republicans win back any seats. This would place a greater obstacle in front of Obama's plans for socialism.

But even if it happens I'm afraid the real result will just be 'almost-as-stupid' legislation at a slightly slower pace. Republicans have proven themselves weak under constant media pressure, and with the exception of a few individuals, they are just as willing to mortgage our security/future for a little more power or money today. Any leader who can show Republicans how to win - with sacrifice and by sticking to real conservative principles - will be immediately, absolutely destroyed by a terrified media.



.

Remphoto
02-10-2010, 08:09 AM
Well, I would love to see Republicans win back any seats. This would place a greater obstacle in front of Obama's plans for socialism.

But even if it happens I'm afraid the real result will just be 'almost-as-stupid' legislation at a slightly slower pace. Republicans have proven themselves weak under constant media pressure, and with the exception of a few individuals, they are just as willing to mortgage our security/future for a little more power or money today. Any leader who can show Republicans how to win - with sacrifice and by sticking to real conservative principles - will be immediately, absolutely destroyed by a terrified media.



.

Good points. Maybe I'm being naive, but am hopeful that the new group of Republican candidates will be more conservatively-principled and will learn from the days when their party was in control of Congress. Regardless, anything that can derail the direction BHO is taking the country sounds good to me. I agree that the MSM will attempt to destroy any true conservative candidates. I sense, thought, that they are losing credibility on a daily basis and perhaps the day will come when they are relegated to a distant voice crying from the wilderness.

coolbreeze
02-10-2010, 08:27 AM
Well, I would love to see Republicans win back any seats. This would place a greater obstacle in front of Obama's plans for socialism.

But even if it happens I'm afraid the real result will just be 'almost-as-stupid' legislation at a slightly slower pace. Republicans have proven themselves weak under constant media pressure, and with the exception of a few individuals, they are just as willing to mortgage our security/future for a little more power or money today. Any leader who can show Republicans how to win - with sacrifice and by sticking to real conservative principles - will be immediately, absolutely destroyed by a terrified media.

Very true Nelson. It's not only the dems, but the majority of republicans mainly answer to their shadow constituents as well, namely their special interests of wealthy fat cats, and not we the people as they are emulating now that they are. A nearly complete turn-over of both houses is desperately needed, ideally with fresh conservatives taking control. As for the MSM, I like to believe the majority of the people are finally on to them. Maybe I'm being naive to think that, but maybe not.

Remphoto
02-10-2010, 09:00 AM
One of the conservative pundits (forget which one) said that the Republicans will have one -- and only one -- chance to be given control of ?Congress. This time they better not screw it up or we will be back to the march toward socialilsm.

John Stossel had an excellent article on "The Road to Serfdom" regarding this subject:

http://townhall.com/columnists/JohnStossel/2008/11/12/the_road_to_serfdom?page=full&comments=true

Jeb
02-10-2010, 01:30 PM
Good points. Maybe I'm being naive, but am hopeful that the new group of Republican candidates will be more conservatively-principled and will learn from the days when their party was in control of Congress. Regardless, anything that can derail the direction BHO is taking the country sounds good to me. I agree that the MSM will attempt to destroy any true conservative candidates. I sense, thought, that they are losing credibility on a daily basis and perhaps the day will come when they are relegated to a distant voice crying from the wilderness.

They are now seeing massive grass root movements that can just as easily mow them over!:gun: